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Civil-Comp Proceedings
ISSN 1759-3433 CCP: 16
NEURAL NETWORKS & COMBINATORIAL OPTIMIZATION IN CIVIL & STRUCTURAL ENGINEERING Edited by: B.H.V. Topping and A.I. Khan
Paper IV.2
Runoff Volume Estimates with Neural Networks S.Y. Liong and W.T. Chan
Department of Civil Engineering, National University of Singapore, Singapore S.Y. Liong, W.T. Chan, "Runoff Volume Estimates with Neural Networks", in B.H.V. Topping, A.I. Khan, (Editors), "Neural Networks & Combinatorial Optimization in Civil & Structural Engineering", Civil-Comp Press, Edinburgh, UK, pp 67-70, 1993. doi:10.4203/ccp.16.4.2
Abstract
This paper presents a study of the application of a neural network to forecast storm runoff volumes from a
catchment, the Upper Bukit Timah (UBT) catchment, in Singapore. A widely used catchment model, SWMM , was
applied to generate 3 sets of 273 runoff volume data from the UBT catchment. Each set of the 273 data was
simulated for one storm event at various values of the calibration parameters. This data set was required
in the catchment calibration method suggested by Ibrahim and Liong to construct a response surface
relating an objective function and the calibration parameters. A back-propagation neural forecaster with
a non-linear Sigmoid activation function was trained to mimic the SWMM simulations. After training, the
forecaster was tested on SWMM's simulation results of seven other storms. The comparisons show that the
trained neural forecaster not only can predict the runoff volumes in a much shorter time but also results
in low prediction errors.
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