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Civil-Comp Proceedings
ISSN 1759-3433 CCP: 104
PROCEEDINGS OF THE SECOND INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON RAILWAY TECHNOLOGY: RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND MAINTENANCE Edited by: J. Pombo
Paper 199
Punctuality Based Calibration of Railway Capacity Models S. Ricci
Department of Civil, Environmental and Building Engineering, Sapienza Università di Roma, Italy S. Ricci, "Punctuality Based Calibration of Railway Capacity Models", in J. Pombo, (Editor), "Proceedings of the Second International Conference on Railway Technology: Research, Development and Maintenance", Civil-Comp Press, Stirlingshire, UK, Paper 199, 2014. doi:10.4203/ccp.104.199
Keywords: railway, operation, capacity, punctuality, model, calibration.
Summary
The developing railway operational situation repeatedly increases the need for
consolidated models for capacity calculation, strictly related to the level of
punctuality achievable at the different levels of traffic density. This paper, presents a
study, of an extended set of carrying capacity calculation methods, based on
stochastic algorithms as well as simulation models. The aim is to provide a
contribution in the key phase of calibration. In this phase, the aim is to; acquire
relevance of both the level of perturbation accepted in the normal operation and the
infrastructural and technological equipment of the concerned lines and nodes.
Therefore, the research development has been organised in: 1) detailed analysis and
tests of case studies for the commonly used calibration approaches; 2) investigation
of selected case studies in terms of punctuality, by collecting an extended set of data
on daily operation traffic including deviations between scheduled and real
timetables; 3) application of calibration procedures to consolidated capacity models
to achieve reference results; 4) systematic comparison between expected (according
to classical calibration methods) and real (according to collected data on daily
operation) punctuality levels; 5) proposal and test of adjustments to the classical
calibration procedures; 6) identification and qualification in terms of potential
benefits of the proposed calibration approach to increase representativeness,
generality and adherence of results to the daily operation implications. The analyses
have been supported by the use of the web portal railway capacity assessment tool
RC-k, developed within the author's research group.
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