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Civil-Comp Proceedings
ISSN 1759-3433 CCP: 53
ADVANCES IN ENGINEERING COMPUTATIONAL TECHNOLOGY Edited by: B.H.V. Topping
Paper IV.8
Probabilistic Modelling of Concrete Cracking: Using Monte Carlo and Neural Networks to Solve the Inverse Problem E.M.R. Fairbairn, N.F.F. Ebecken, E. Goulart and C.N.M. Paz
COPPE/UFRJ, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil E.M.R. Fairbairn, N.F.F. Ebecken, E. Goulart, C.N.M. Paz, "Probabilistic Modelling of Concrete Cracking: Using Monte Carlo and Neural Networks to Solve the Inverse Problem", in B.H.V. Topping, (Editor), "Advances in Engineering Computational Technology", Civil-Comp Press, Edinburgh, UK, pp 215-219, 1998. doi:10.4203/ccp.53.4.8
Abstract
The probabilistic approach, based on the Monte Carlo
method has been recently introduced to simulate cracking of
concrete in the framework of a finite element analysis.
When a procedure based on this approach is used, N samples
of the vector of random variables (tensile strength, Young
modulus, etc.) are generated from a specific probability
density function. If the uncertainties of these material
parameters are assumed to vary spatially following a normal
distribution, the N samples corresponding to a simulation are
function of the mean and the standard deviation that defines
the Gauss density function. The problem is that these
statistical moments are not known, a priori, for the
characteristic volume of the finite elements for which the
problem has been discretized. In this paper neural networks
are used to evaluate the parameters characterizing the
statistical distribution (e.g., for a normal distribution: the
mean and the standard deviation) for a given response of the
structure (for instance, an average load-displacement curve)
following an inverse analysis procedure. It is shown that the
presently presented procedure improves a recently proposed
algorithm, which is able to solve the problem, but is very
hard to operate.
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